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Tropics - August 2020: TD13-Laura & TD14-Marco Projected Paths
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Today, August 21st, NOAA/NWS is indicating that states along the Gulf Coast are in for some very heavy weather come late-evening/night-time on the 26th of August. The NOAA/NWS Projections and their associated Images CHANGE with time... just go to The National Hurricane Center's Website and CLICK on any "storm" of interest to you... in order to follow the changing projections.

The clickable LINKS below are screenshots which I have saved, just to document projections and actual outcomes as to how it all will play-out over the coming days.

While now only Tropical Depression (TD)... the projected paths put TD13 and TD14 headed for those states.

Both TDs are projected to arrive as Hurricanes at about the same time in different locations.

So far this year (and in recent years) NOAA/NWS has been pretty damned accurate with their projections as to where and when tropical systems will strike. If NOAA/NWS projections turn out to be even close to 100% accurate... this could be very bad news.
 
 
Posts: 25914 | Location: VA | Mbr Since: 11-08-2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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NOAA/NWS update on 22 August at 8 AM EDT. As expected, over the past 24+ hours, there have been some changes as to projected times and locations of landfalls.

On 21 August, at 2 AM EDT, the projections were: On 22 August, at 8 AM EDT, the projections were: Both projected paths have been moved a bit to the West with:
    landfall in Texas (Marco early hours on the 26th?) and
    landfall in Louisiana (Laura late hours on the 26th?)
 
Posts: 25914 | Location: VA | Mbr Since: 11-08-2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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NOAA/NWS update on 22 August at 8 AM EDT. As expected, over the past 24+ hours, there have been some changes as to projected times and locations of landfalls.

On 21 August, at 2 AM EDT, the projections were: On 22 August, at 8 AM EDT, the projections were: Both projected paths have been moved a bit to the West with:
    landfall in Texas (Marco early hours on the 26th?) and landfall in Louisiana (Laura late hours on the 26th?)
Well folks, this morning's 8 AM EDT update from NOAA/NWS does not bode well for the coast of Louisiana! The projected paths for both Laura and Marco have them striking that coastline. First Marco in the early morning hours on the 26th and then Laura in the early morning hours on the 27th. So, batten down the hatches because this is going to be a rough ride (no matter where and at what time they actually strike the Gulf coast of the U.S.).

On 23 August, at 8 AM EDT, the projections were:
 
Posts: 25914 | Location: VA | Mbr Since: 11-08-2005Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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